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Nothing from the Chicago Boys?

Markets slide again but chancellor says Britain can ride out the crisis
Alistair Darling today called for international cooperation and transparency from the world's banks as global stockmarkets fell again today and central banks pumped yet more money into the system.

Following chaos on Wall Street yesterday, and in which Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs became the latest US financial institutions to come under fire, the chancellor attempted to reassure the public that Britain could ride out the crisis.

"We need to take action internationally, and we are," Darling said. "This is clearly a very difficult time , and I am confident that we will get through it." ...

Guardian 18 September 2008

Brown and Darling are singing from the same hymn sheet, but it's difficult to know what to make of their joint optimism. On same day as the media was full of the Lloyds TSB takeover of HBOS - said to have been arranged by Brown and the chairman of Lloyds TSB at a drinks party [GDN] - it was also reported that:

The public finances suffered yet another lurch into the red last month amid warnings of a record deficit this year that would force the next government to raise taxes or cut spending, or both. There was an overall shortfall of tax revenues relative to spending of £10.2bn in August - the worst August figure since monthly records began in 1993. Economists said the speed of the deterioration, if continued, could push the deficit to £70bn this fiscal year, double the 2007/08 figure and way above the £43bn estimate the chancellor, Alistair Darling, made in the budget in March.    [GDN]

Which does make you wonder where all the money is coming from for little matters like Northern Rock, central bank "liquidity pumping", those shiny new aircraft carriers, polyclinics, support for pensioners in fuel poverty ... how long have you got?

Meanwhile, across the pond where it all started, the message seems to be getting through that perhaps, fingers crossed, all those utopian theories about the virtues of the "free markets" might - just might - be losing their appeal. The New York Times, no less, reported that:

Is the United States no longer the global beacon of unfettered, free-market capitalism? In extending a last-minute $85 billion lifeline to American International Group, the troubled insurer, Washington has not only turned away from decades of rhetoric about the virtues of the free market and the dangers of government intervention, but it has also probably undercut future American efforts to promote such policies abroad.

"I fear the government has passed the point of no return," said Ron Chernow, a leading American financial historian. "We have the irony of a free-market administration doing things that the most liberal Democratic administration would never have been doing in its wildest dreams." ...

"For opponents of free markets in Europe and elsewhere, this is a wonderful opportunity to invoke the American example," said Mario Monti, the former antitrust chief at the European Commission. "They will say that even the standard-bearer of the market economy, the United States, negates its fundamental principles in its behavior."

Mr. Monti said that past financial crises in Asia, Russia and Mexico brought government to the fore, "but this is the first time it’s in the heart of capitalism, which is enormously more damaging in terms of the credibility of the market economy." ...

In parts of Asia, the bailouts stirred bitter memories of the different approach the United States and the International Monetary Fund adopted during the economic crises there a decade ago.

When the I.M.F. pledged $20 billion to help South Korea survive the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s, one of the conditions it imposed was that the Korean government allow ailing banks and other companies to collapse rather than bail them out, recalled Yung Chul Park, a professor of economics at Korea University in Seoul, who was deeply involved in the negotiations with the I.M.F.

While Mr. Park says the current crisis is different — it is global rather than limited to one region — "Washington is following a different script this time."    [NYT]

Which raises the $64k question: Has anyone heard from the IMF during the current crisis, or are the Chicago Boys getting a reality check?



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